Russia is wary that the rise of the Taliban will embolden separatists in Chechnya and Dagestan. Russia had to endure terror attacks of gargantuan proportions in the late nineties.
The rise of the Taliban in Afghanistan has raised concerns for its neighbouring countries. The most affected nations are Russia, China, Pakistan and India. The challenge for India is to keep Pakistan and its proxies like Jaishe-e-Mohammad and Lashkar-e- Toiba on leash. Also, it cannot antagonize the Taliban, making loud noises that it seeks peace and is more moderate in its second iteration.
Russia: Opening old wounds
Russia is wary that the rise of the Taliban will embolden separatists in Chechnya and Dagestan. Russia had to endure terror attacks of gargantuan proportions in the late nineties. It also had to pay a heavy price both in terms of human casualties and economically in the two Chechen wars. The rebels had got material as well as training by the Taliban. Russia will be observing the Taliban before it decides to recognize the present government.
Incidentally, the Russian President had a long telephonic conversation with Indian Prime Minister Narinder Modi about the unfolding events in Afghanistan. Both the leaders were concerned by the growing Islamic radicalization in the region.
Hindustan Times reports that Both Russia and India have decided to remain in touch about the Taliban’s action in Afghanistan.
Trouble in Xinxiang
China is also worried about the rise of the Taliban since it will act as a fillip for its own insurgency problem in Xinxiang province, which is predominantly Muslim. China has enforced strict programs to wean away from the youth in Xinxiang province from radicalization. However, the Taliban could act as a catalyst for the separatist movements in the region.
Lastly, the biggest effect of Taliban Rule in Afghanistan will be in Pakistan. The rise of the Taliban, which is often said to be the sword arm of ISI, brings more trouble than benefits for Pakistan. Already terror attacks have started happening, and TTP or Tehrek-e-Taliban Pakistan is once again getting stronger. The Taliban is the creation of Pakistan, but it has never been 100% loyal to the Pakistani military establishment. As in the past, the Taliban could bite the very hand which feeds it.
